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Time series estimation of earthquake occurrences in Bali and its surroundings using NARX network model
Nugroho H.A.a, Joelianto E.b, Widiyantoro S.b
a Denpasar Geophysical Station, Meteorological Climatological and Geophysical Agency, Indonesia
b Instrumentation and Control Research Group, Faculty of Industrial Technology, Bandung Institute of Technology, Indonesia
[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624529070653{padding-top: 30px !important;padding-bottom: 30px !important;}”][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner layout=”boxed”][vc_column_inner width=”3/4″ css=”.vc_custom_1624695412187{border-right-width: 1px !important;border-right-color: #dddddd !important;border-right-style: solid !important;border-radius: 1px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Abstract” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]Bali and its surrounding is earthquake hazardous as the geographical position is flanked by two major earthquake generators (subduction zone in the Southern and back arc thrust zone in the Northern) that have different tectonic structures. In this paper, a dynamic artificial neural network with NARX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Network With eXogenous Inputs) model will be used for time series estimation of earthquake occurrences in Bali and its surroundings area. NARX model has capability to represent time varying systems which is of interest in dynamical system estimation problem. Simulation results showed that NARX model gives better performances than ANFIS (Adaptive Network Fuzzy Inference Systems) and Layer Recurrent Network. © 2013 IEEE.[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Author keywords” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]Adaptive network fuzzy inference systems,Back-arc,Earthquake occurrences,Embedding dimensions,Geographical positions,NARX network,Nonlinear Autoregressive Network with exogenous inputs,Series estimations[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Indexed keywords” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]back arc thrust,earthquake,embedding dimension,NARX network,time delay[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Funding details” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text][/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”DOI” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]https://doi.org/10.1109/ICA.2013.6734081[/vc_column_text][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/4″][vc_column_text]Widget Plumx[/vc_column_text][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][/vc_column][/vc_row]