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Weather analysis to predict rice cultivation time using multiple linear regression to escalate farmer’s exchange rate

Lumintoa, Harlilia

a School of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, Indonesia

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624529070653{padding-top: 30px !important;padding-bottom: 30px !important;}”][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner layout=”boxed”][vc_column_inner width=”3/4″ css=”.vc_custom_1624695412187{border-right-width: 1px !important;border-right-color: #dddddd !important;border-right-style: solid !important;border-radius: 1px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Abstract” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]© 2017 IEEE.Agriculture is one of primary sectors of the national economy and is receiving more attention from government annually in order to increase productions and boost national economy. Agriculture, especially rice cultivation, has been challenged with various issues for the past decades such as extreme weather (global warming) which could result in crop failure. From the weather aspect, this paper aims to build weather analysis program to predict rice cultivation time in hope to escalate Farmer’s Exchange Rate (FER). Farmer’s Exchange Rate is an proxy indicator to determine how prosperous farmers from certain regions are. Weather analysis is conducted by retrieving weather data from National Weather Forecast and Farmer’s Exchange Rate data from National Statistics Authority for the past 1 year and using the obtained data to build a regression model using Multiple Linear Regreesion (MLR) to determine the correlation between weather and FER. The variables are ‘Average Temperature’, ‘Average Humidity’, ‘Rainfall’, and ‘Solar Radiation’. The resulted model is then projected using line chart. Based on evaluation the proposed analysis from 2 different regions tested gives overall Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between 0.39-1.34.[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Author keywords” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]Exchange rates,Increase productions,Multiple linear regressions,National economy,National statistics,Rice cultivation,Root mean square errors,Weather analysis[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Indexed keywords” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]Farmer’s Exchange Rate,Multiple Linear Regression,weather analysis[/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”Funding details” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text][/vc_column_text][vc_empty_space][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][vc_empty_space][megatron_heading title=”DOI” size=”size-sm” text_align=”text-left”][vc_column_text]https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAICTA.2017.8090974[/vc_column_text][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/4″][vc_column_text]Widget Plumx[/vc_column_text][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_separator css=”.vc_custom_1624528584150{padding-top: 25px !important;padding-bottom: 25px !important;}”][/vc_column][/vc_row]